{
  "version": 3,
  "sources": ["ssg:https://framerusercontent.com/modules/Ip1UZ5KbbIyKBX0GHjss/e9YMHgTiMW2zPJekuqYN/dTkrLmGly.js"],
  "sourcesContent": ["import{jsx as _jsx,jsxs as _jsxs}from\"react/jsx-runtime\";import{addPropertyControls,ControlType,Link}from\"framer\";import*as React from\"react\";/**\n * @framerRecordIdKey id\n * @framerSlug FmAG7g7H6\n * @framerEnumToDisplayNameUtils 1\n * @framerData\n */ const data=[{Ed8BwhCf3:\"2023-06-09T00:00:00.000Z\",FGsI9oTdz:/*#__PURE__*/ _jsxs(React.Fragment,{children:[/*#__PURE__*/ _jsxs(\"p\",{children:[\"From Chris Potter at \",/*#__PURE__*/ _jsx(\"em\",{children:\"WESA:\"})]}),/*#__PURE__*/ _jsx(\"p\",{children:\"Considering their central role in modern politics, campaign pollsters get very little attention. Campaigns understandably want the spotlight trained on their candidate, and that suits the pollsters I\u2019ve met just fine, due to varying combinations of professional reticence, personal shyness, and Gollum-like unnaturally large eyes that are especially sensitive to sunlight.\"}),/*#__PURE__*/ _jsxs(\"p\",{children:[\"So it was notable last month when Pittsburgh Mayor Ed Gainey gave a shout-out to his 2021 campaign\u2019s pollster, Ethan Smith, as \u201C\",/*#__PURE__*/ _jsx(Link,{href:\"https://twitter.com/gainey_ed/status/1660732374919925771\",openInNewTab:true,smoothScroll:false,children:/*#__PURE__*/ _jsx(\"a\",{children:\"the best there is\"})}),\"\u201D when Smith launched his firm, Upswing Research & Strategy. Few people in the region have spent more time studying what is driving local politics today.\"]}),/*#__PURE__*/ _jsx(\"p\",{children:\"Smith previously worked for D.C.-based opinion research and consulting firm GQR, and while he remains in the D.C. area and has worked for clients across the country, his roots are here.\"}),/*#__PURE__*/ _jsx(\"p\",{children:\"\u201CIt\u2019s easy for me to be involved in Pittsburgh races because I know the area,\u201D he said. \u201CAnd it\u2019s not common for pollsters to have that knowledge.\u201D\"}),/*#__PURE__*/ _jsx(\"p\",{children:\"Smith spent his childhood in Dormont, and doesn\u2019t need a poll to tell him affordable housing is a concern. \u201CI recently looked at a place I lived when I went to college,\u201D said the University of Pittsburgh graduate. \u201CI was paying $450 a month when I went to school 10 years ago, and now it\u2019s $1,500.\u201D\"}),/*#__PURE__*/ _jsxs(\"p\",{children:[\"If Gainey seems ready to give Smith the key to the city, it\u2019s because Smith helped him and other prominent progressives secure the keys to their offices. Smith also worked on Summer Lee\u2019s congressional bid in 2022, as well as Sara Innamorato\u2019s Democratic primary win for county executive\\xa0\",/*#__PURE__*/ _jsx(\"em\",{children:\"and\\xa0\"}),\"Matt Dugan\u2019s toppling of District Attorney Steve Zappala this spring. He\u2019s also done work for SEIU, whose political director\\xa0\",/*#__PURE__*/ _jsx(Link,{href:\"https://twitter.com/Silas_Russell/status/1660683726030876681\",openInNewTab:true,smoothScroll:false,children:/*#__PURE__*/ _jsx(\"a\",{children:\"hails Smith\"})}),\" as \u201Can instrumental part of the wave of progressive wins\u201D locally.\"]}),/*#__PURE__*/ _jsx(\"p\",{children:\"Smith has ridden that wave almost from the outset. Early on he assisted Rich Fitzgerald\u2019s 2011 bid for county executive at a time when \u201CRich wasn\u2019t just the most progressive person in that race. He was the most progressive politician in the county.\u201D\"}),/*#__PURE__*/ _jsx(\"p\",{children:\"If Fitzgerald is now regarded in some circles as too conservative, Smith ascribes that less to changes in Fitzgerald than to shifts in the political climate. \u201CWatching how Rich went to the left of the party probably to the right of it in 10 years is emblematic of how dramatically things have changed,\u201D he said.\"}),/*#__PURE__*/ _jsx(\"p\",{children:\"Within heavily Democratic Allegheny County, he said, elections are increasingly driven by a new coalition: voters under age 50, people of color, and people with college degrees, especially women.\"}),/*#__PURE__*/ _jsx(\"p\",{children:\"Meanwhile, Smith said, we\u2019ve had a generation of leaders who \u2014 whatever their philosophical differences \u2014 were shaped by the local steel industry\u2019s collapse. Their response was, broadly, \u201CWe\u2019re going to clean things up and bring in these eds and meds,\u201D Smith said. \u201CEd and Sara and Summer are saying something different.\u201D\"}),/*#__PURE__*/ _jsx(\"p\",{children:/*#__PURE__*/ _jsx(Link,{href:\"https://www.wesa.fm/politics-government/2023-06-09/ethan-smith-pittsburgh-pollster\",openInNewTab:true,smoothScroll:false,children:/*#__PURE__*/ _jsx(\"a\",{children:\"Read the full article at WESA.\"})})})]}),FmAG7g7H6:\"wesa-meet-the-pollster\",id:\"MNTLNqDfi\",kuwg2S49o:{alt:\"\",src:new URL(\"assets/8bRxWwAmt5xXnV6ZmQ8aYD2lD2o.webp\",\"https://framerusercontent.com/modules/Ip1UZ5KbbIyKBX0GHjss/e9YMHgTiMW2zPJekuqYN/dTkrLmGly.js\").href},RxKmQUDFm:\"WESA: Meet the Pollster Behind the Wins of Pittsburgh Progressives Lee, Gainey, Innamorato, and More\"},{Ed8BwhCf3:\"2023-05-23T00:00:00.000Z\",FGsI9oTdz:/*#__PURE__*/ _jsxs(React.Fragment,{children:[/*#__PURE__*/ _jsxs(\"p\",{children:[\"From Sean J. Miller at \",/*#__PURE__*/ _jsx(\"em\",{children:\"Campaigns & Elections:\"})]}),/*#__PURE__*/ _jsx(\"p\",{children:\"The 2024 cycle will most likely feature a rare historical occurrence in modern campaigns: a major party candidate running for president for the third time who, unlike traditional perennial types, actually has a shot at winning the GOP nomination.\"}),/*#__PURE__*/ _jsx(\"p\",{children:\"The good thing for pollsters is that they\u2019ve seen this play out before and some practitioners feel confident, despite earlier misfires, that they\u2019ll be able to better predict the makeup of the electorate.\"}),/*#__PURE__*/ _jsx(\"p\",{children:\"\u201CI expect 2024 to be a pretty good year for polling,\u201D said Ethan Smith, founder of the newly launched Upswing Research & Strategy.\"}),/*#__PURE__*/ _jsx(\"p\",{children:\"In previous cycles when the former president ran, pollsters had trouble getting responses from Trump supporters. Researchers have pointed to a variety of reasons for that low- or non-response rate, but one baseline factor is that it\u2019s easier to poll voters who are more politically engaged.\"}),/*#__PURE__*/ _jsx(\"p\",{children:\"Trump supporters, like many of President Obama\u2019s voters, only turnout for him. \u201CThat makes it hard for us,\u201D said Smith, who spent nearly a decade at Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (GQR) before officially hanging his own shingle this week. \u201CCapturing that in surveys is a challenge.\u201D\"}),/*#__PURE__*/ _jsx(\"p\",{children:\"But the challenge for pollsters doesn\u2019t begin and end with Trump supporters. In fact, the former president\u2019s impact on the electorate also translates to Democrats and Independents who are more motivated to vote in primaries and general elections when he\u2019s on the ballot, according to Smith.\"}),/*#__PURE__*/ _jsxs(\"p\",{children:[/*#__PURE__*/ _jsx(Link,{href:\"https://campaignsandelections.com/industry-news/pollsters-and-trump-third-times-a-charm/\",openInNewTab:true,smoothScroll:false,children:/*#__PURE__*/ _jsx(\"a\",{children:\"Read the full article at Campaigns & Elections\"})}),\".\"]})]}),FmAG7g7H6:\"pollsters-and-trump-third-time-s-a-charm\",id:\"U6l6AFej_\",kuwg2S49o:{alt:\"\",src:new URL(\"assets/kwpK8eLBou5oOLYmiJUJuqUAIw.jpg\",\"https://framerusercontent.com/modules/Ip1UZ5KbbIyKBX0GHjss/e9YMHgTiMW2zPJekuqYN/dTkrLmGly.js\").href,srcSet:`${new URL(\"assets/512/kwpK8eLBou5oOLYmiJUJuqUAIw.jpg\",\"https://framerusercontent.com/modules/Ip1UZ5KbbIyKBX0GHjss/e9YMHgTiMW2zPJekuqYN/dTkrLmGly.js\").href} 512w, ${new URL(\"assets/1024/kwpK8eLBou5oOLYmiJUJuqUAIw.jpg\",\"https://framerusercontent.com/modules/Ip1UZ5KbbIyKBX0GHjss/e9YMHgTiMW2zPJekuqYN/dTkrLmGly.js\").href} 1024w, ${new URL(\"assets/kwpK8eLBou5oOLYmiJUJuqUAIw.jpg\",\"https://framerusercontent.com/modules/Ip1UZ5KbbIyKBX0GHjss/e9YMHgTiMW2zPJekuqYN/dTkrLmGly.js\").href} 2048w`},RxKmQUDFm:\"Pollsters and Trump: Third Time's a Charm?\"},{Ed8BwhCf3:\"2023-05-22T00:00:00.000Z\",FGsI9oTdz:/*#__PURE__*/ _jsxs(React.Fragment,{children:[/*#__PURE__*/ _jsx(\"p\",{children:\"WASHINGTON, May 22, 2023\u2014veteran Democratic strategist Ethan Smith announced today he will launch his own polling firm. Based in Washington, D.C., the firm will offer a range of opinion research and campaign services, including polling, focus groups, and general consulting. \u201CUpswing will be a place for innovation, rigorous research methods, and diverse perspectives,\u201D said Smith, one of the only openly gay pollsters in the Party.\"}),/*#__PURE__*/ _jsx(\"p\",{children:\"His client list includes Democratic Frontline member Rep. Susan Wild (PA-07), freshman member Rep. Summer Lee (PA-12), Pittsburgh Mayor Ed Gainey, SEIU Healthcare PA and progressive criminal justice reform group Justice and Public Safety. He has also conducted research for\\xa0 Democrats, progressive organizations and labor unions across the country, including in Washington, Minnesota, Connecticut, Tennessee, New Hampshire, Texas, and New Jersey. This announcement comes after Smith helped secure primary victories last week in his hometown of Pittsburgh: Sara Innamorato for County Executive and Matt Dugan for District Attorney.\"}),/*#__PURE__*/ _jsx(\"p\",{children:\"He brings with him a wealth of knowledge and expertise. Smith previously served as vice president at Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (GQR). Prior to joining GQR, Smith worked on campaigns up and down the ballot.\\xa0\"}),/*#__PURE__*/ _jsxs(\"p\",{children:[\"Upswing will formally launch with an intimate gathering next month, but Smith is already hard at work. \u201CBuilding something new is exciting and challenging,\u201D he said. \u201CWith that in mind, I\u2019m still laser-focused on continuing to be a strategic partner to my clients to help advance progressive goals and elect Democrats.\u201D\",/*#__PURE__*/ _jsx(\"br\",{}),/*#__PURE__*/ _jsx(\"br\",{className:\"trailing-break\"})]}),/*#__PURE__*/ _jsx(\"p\",{children:/*#__PURE__*/ _jsx(\"strong\",{children:\"About Upswing Research & Strategy\\xa0\"})}),/*#__PURE__*/ _jsxs(\"p\",{children:[\"Upswing launched in 2023 and sits at the intersection of public opinion and advancing progressive values, helping clients effect change and shape outcomes. The firm offers a range of services, primarily quantitative and qualitative research. Upswing is 100% LGBTQ+ owned. Learn more at \",/*#__PURE__*/ _jsx(Link,{href:\"http://www.upswingresearch.com/\",openInNewTab:false,smoothScroll:false,children:/*#__PURE__*/ _jsx(\"a\",{children:\"www.upswingresearch.com\"})}),\" or \",/*#__PURE__*/ _jsx(Link,{href:\"https://www.twitter.com/upswingRS\",openInNewTab:true,smoothScroll:false,children:/*#__PURE__*/ _jsx(\"a\",{children:\"@UpswingRS\"})}),\" on Twitter.\",/*#__PURE__*/ _jsx(\"br\",{}),/*#__PURE__*/ _jsx(\"br\",{className:\"trailing-break\"})]}),/*#__PURE__*/ _jsx(\"p\",{children:/*#__PURE__*/ _jsx(\"strong\",{children:\"FOR MORE INFORMATION, CONTACT:\"})}),/*#__PURE__*/ _jsxs(\"p\",{children:[/*#__PURE__*/ _jsx(\"em\",{children:\"Ethan Smith, Founder\"}),/*#__PURE__*/ _jsx(\"br\",{}),\"(202) 681-1756\",/*#__PURE__*/ _jsx(\"br\",{}),\"ethan@upswingresearch.com\"]}),/*#__PURE__*/ _jsx(\"p\",{children:\"###\"})]}),FmAG7g7H6:\"news-release-ethan-smith-announces-new-firm\",id:\"UHNEz64vX\",kuwg2S49o:{alt:\"Upswing Logo\",src:new URL(\"assets/EOlb0mAZok6C7kiGDu19LDnL2c.png\",\"https://framerusercontent.com/modules/Ip1UZ5KbbIyKBX0GHjss/e9YMHgTiMW2zPJekuqYN/dTkrLmGly.js\").href,srcSet:`${new URL(\"assets/512/EOlb0mAZok6C7kiGDu19LDnL2c.png\",\"https://framerusercontent.com/modules/Ip1UZ5KbbIyKBX0GHjss/e9YMHgTiMW2zPJekuqYN/dTkrLmGly.js\").href} 512w, ${new URL(\"assets/1024/EOlb0mAZok6C7kiGDu19LDnL2c.png\",\"https://framerusercontent.com/modules/Ip1UZ5KbbIyKBX0GHjss/e9YMHgTiMW2zPJekuqYN/dTkrLmGly.js\").href} 1024w, ${new URL(\"assets/EOlb0mAZok6C7kiGDu19LDnL2c.png\",\"https://framerusercontent.com/modules/Ip1UZ5KbbIyKBX0GHjss/e9YMHgTiMW2zPJekuqYN/dTkrLmGly.js\").href} 1920w`},RxKmQUDFm:\"News Release: After Two Wins Last Week, Former GQR Pollster Announces New Firm, Upswing Research & Strategy\"}];data.forEach(item=>Object.freeze(item));addPropertyControls(data,{RxKmQUDFm:{defaultValue:\"\",title:\"Title\",type:ControlType.String},FmAG7g7H6:{title:\"Slug\",type:ControlType.String},Ed8BwhCf3:{defaultValue:\"\",title:\"Date\",type:ControlType.Date},kuwg2S49o:{title:\"Image\",type:ControlType.ResponsiveImage},FGsI9oTdz:{defaultValue:\"\",title:\"Content\",type:ControlType.RichText}});data[\"displayName\"]=\"News\";export default data;\nexport const __FramerMetadata__ = {\"exports\":{\"default\":{\"type\":\"data\",\"name\":\"data\",\"annotations\":{\"framerData\":\"\",\"framerRecordIdKey\":\"id\",\"framerContractVersion\":\"1\",\"framerSlug\":\"FmAG7g7H6\",\"framerEnumToDisplayNameUtils\":\"1\"}},\"__FramerMetadata__\":{\"type\":\"variable\"}}}"],
  "mappings": "6EAKI,IAAMA,EAAK,CAAC,CAAC,UAAU,2BAA2B,UAAwBC,EAAYC,EAAS,CAAC,SAAS,CAAeD,EAAM,IAAI,CAAC,SAAS,CAAC,wBAAsCE,EAAK,KAAK,CAAC,SAAS,OAAO,CAAC,CAAC,CAAC,CAAC,EAAgBA,EAAK,IAAI,CAAC,SAAS,2XAAsX,CAAC,EAAgBF,EAAM,IAAI,CAAC,SAAS,CAAC,6IAAiJE,EAAKC,EAAK,CAAC,KAAK,2DAA2D,aAAa,GAAK,aAAa,GAAM,SAAuBD,EAAK,IAAI,CAAC,SAAS,mBAAmB,CAAC,CAAC,CAAC,EAAE,gKAA2J,CAAC,CAAC,EAAgBA,EAAK,IAAI,CAAC,SAAS,2LAA2L,CAAC,EAAgBA,EAAK,IAAI,CAAC,SAAS,mLAAqJ,CAAC,EAAgBA,EAAK,IAAI,CAAC,SAAS,0UAA4S,CAAC,EAAgBF,EAAM,IAAI,CAAC,SAAS,CAAC,qTAAoTE,EAAK,KAAK,CAAC,SAAS,SAAS,CAAC,EAAE,6IAAiJA,EAAKC,EAAK,CAAC,KAAK,+DAA+D,aAAa,GAAK,aAAa,GAAM,SAAuBD,EAAK,IAAI,CAAC,SAAS,aAAa,CAAC,CAAC,CAAC,EAAE,+EAAqE,CAAC,CAAC,EAAgBA,EAAK,IAAI,CAAC,SAAS,+QAA2P,CAAC,EAAgBA,EAAK,IAAI,CAAC,SAAS,mUAAyT,CAAC,EAAgBA,EAAK,IAAI,CAAC,SAAS,qMAAqM,CAAC,EAAgBA,EAAK,IAAI,CAAC,SAAS,gXAAmU,CAAC,EAAgBA,EAAK,IAAI,CAAC,SAAuBA,EAAKC,EAAK,CAAC,KAAK,qFAAqF,aAAa,GAAK,aAAa,GAAM,SAAuBD,EAAK,IAAI,CAAC,SAAS,gCAAgC,CAAC,CAAC,CAAC,CAAC,CAAC,CAAC,CAAC,CAAC,EAAE,UAAU,yBAAyB,GAAG,YAAY,UAAU,CAAC,IAAI,GAAG,IAAI,IAAI,IAAI,0CAA0C,8FAA8F,EAAE,IAAI,EAAE,UAAU,sGAAsG,EAAE,CAAC,UAAU,2BAA2B,UAAwBF,EAAYC,EAAS,CAAC,SAAS,CAAeD,EAAM,IAAI,CAAC,SAAS,CAAC,0BAAwCE,EAAK,KAAK,CAAC,SAAS,wBAAwB,CAAC,CAAC,CAAC,CAAC,EAAgBA,EAAK,IAAI,CAAC,SAAS,wPAAwP,CAAC,EAAgBA,EAAK,IAAI,CAAC,SAAS,wNAA8M,CAAC,EAAgBA,EAAK,IAAI,CAAC,SAAS,8IAAoI,CAAC,EAAgBA,EAAK,IAAI,CAAC,SAAS,ySAAoS,CAAC,EAAgBA,EAAK,IAAI,CAAC,SAAS,wTAA+R,CAAC,EAAgBA,EAAK,IAAI,CAAC,SAAS,mTAAoS,CAAC,EAAgBF,EAAM,IAAI,CAAC,SAAS,CAAeE,EAAKC,EAAK,CAAC,KAAK,2FAA2F,aAAa,GAAK,aAAa,GAAM,SAAuBD,EAAK,IAAI,CAAC,SAAS,gDAAgD,CAAC,CAAC,CAAC,EAAE,GAAG,CAAC,CAAC,CAAC,CAAC,CAAC,EAAE,UAAU,2CAA2C,GAAG,YAAY,UAAU,CAAC,IAAI,GAAG,IAAI,IAAI,IAAI,wCAAwC,8FAA8F,EAAE,KAAK,OAAO,GAAG,IAAI,IAAI,4CAA4C,8FAA8F,EAAE,cAAc,IAAI,IAAI,6CAA6C,8FAA8F,EAAE,eAAe,IAAI,IAAI,wCAAwC,8FAA8F,EAAE,YAAY,EAAE,UAAU,4CAA4C,EAAE,CAAC,UAAU,2BAA2B,UAAwBF,EAAYC,EAAS,CAAC,SAAS,CAAeC,EAAK,IAAI,CAAC,SAAS,icAAkb,CAAC,EAAgBA,EAAK,IAAI,CAAC,SAAS,2nBAA2nB,CAAC,EAAgBA,EAAK,IAAI,CAAC,SAAS,2NAA2N,CAAC,EAAgBF,EAAM,IAAI,CAAC,SAAS,CAAC,2VAAgVE,EAAK,KAAK,CAAC,CAAC,EAAgBA,EAAK,KAAK,CAAC,UAAU,gBAAgB,CAAC,CAAC,CAAC,CAAC,EAAgBA,EAAK,IAAI,CAAC,SAAuBA,EAAK,SAAS,CAAC,SAAS,uCAAuC,CAAC,CAAC,CAAC,EAAgBF,EAAM,IAAI,CAAC,SAAS,CAAC,iSAA+SE,EAAKC,EAAK,CAAC,KAAK,kCAAkC,aAAa,GAAM,aAAa,GAAM,SAAuBD,EAAK,IAAI,CAAC,SAAS,yBAAyB,CAAC,CAAC,CAAC,EAAE,OAAqBA,EAAKC,EAAK,CAAC,KAAK,oCAAoC,aAAa,GAAK,aAAa,GAAM,SAAuBD,EAAK,IAAI,CAAC,SAAS,YAAY,CAAC,CAAC,CAAC,EAAE,eAA6BA,EAAK,KAAK,CAAC,CAAC,EAAgBA,EAAK,KAAK,CAAC,UAAU,gBAAgB,CAAC,CAAC,CAAC,CAAC,EAAgBA,EAAK,IAAI,CAAC,SAAuBA,EAAK,SAAS,CAAC,SAAS,gCAAgC,CAAC,CAAC,CAAC,EAAgBF,EAAM,IAAI,CAAC,SAAS,CAAeE,EAAK,KAAK,CAAC,SAAS,sBAAsB,CAAC,EAAgBA,EAAK,KAAK,CAAC,CAAC,EAAE,iBAA+BA,EAAK,KAAK,CAAC,CAAC,EAAE,2BAA2B,CAAC,CAAC,EAAgBA,EAAK,IAAI,CAAC,SAAS,KAAK,CAAC,CAAC,CAAC,CAAC,EAAE,UAAU,8CAA8C,GAAG,YAAY,UAAU,CAAC,IAAI,eAAe,IAAI,IAAI,IAAI,wCAAwC,8FAA8F,EAAE,KAAK,OAAO,GAAG,IAAI,IAAI,4CAA4C,8FAA8F,EAAE,cAAc,IAAI,IAAI,6CAA6C,8FAA8F,EAAE,eAAe,IAAI,IAAI,wCAAwC,8FAA8F,EAAE,YAAY,EAAE,UAAU,6GAA6G,CAAC,EAAEH,EAAK,QAAQK,GAAM,OAAO,OAAOA,CAAI,CAAC,EAAEC,EAAoBN,EAAK,CAAC,UAAU,CAAC,aAAa,GAAG,MAAM,QAAQ,KAAKO,EAAY,MAAM,EAAE,UAAU,CAAC,MAAM,OAAO,KAAKA,EAAY,MAAM,EAAE,UAAU,CAAC,aAAa,GAAG,MAAM,OAAO,KAAKA,EAAY,IAAI,EAAE,UAAU,CAAC,MAAM,QAAQ,KAAKA,EAAY,eAAe,EAAE,UAAU,CAAC,aAAa,GAAG,MAAM,UAAU,KAAKA,EAAY,QAAQ,CAAC,CAAC,EAAEP,EAAK,YAAe,OAAO,IAAOQ,EAAQR,EACpoXS,EAAqB,CAAC,QAAU,CAAC,QAAU,CAAC,KAAO,OAAO,KAAO,OAAO,YAAc,CAAC,WAAa,GAAG,kBAAoB,KAAK,sBAAwB,IAAI,WAAa,YAAY,6BAA+B,GAAG,CAAC,EAAE,mBAAqB,CAAC,KAAO,UAAU,CAAC,CAAC",
  "names": ["data", "u", "x", "p", "Link", "item", "addPropertyControls", "ControlType", "dTkrLmGly_default", "__FramerMetadata__"]
}