{
  "acquisition": {
    "calls": 48,
    "conditions": {
      "foreign-p1": {
        "capped": 0,
        "exact": 0,
        "n": 6
      },
      "none-p1": {
        "capped": 0,
        "exact": 0,
        "n": 6
      },
      "own-p1": {
        "capped": 0,
        "exact": 2,
        "n": 6
      },
      "own-p2": {
        "capped": 0,
        "exact": 1,
        "n": 6
      },
      "raw-p1": {
        "capped": 1,
        "exact": 0,
        "n": 6
      },
      "supplied-p1": {
        "capped": 0,
        "exact": 2,
        "n": 6
      },
      "supplied-p2": {
        "capped": 0,
        "exact": 3,
        "n": 6
      }
    },
    "honest_unknown": {
      "foreign": 6,
      "none": 5
    },
    "rules_correct": 2,
    "source": "Loopseed/data/fish/labs/decisive-acquisition-2026-09-05T221330Z/verdict.json",
    "worlds": 6
  },
  "decisive_pilots": [
    {
      "cells": {
        "OFF": {
          "FAIL": 6,
          "INVALID": 1,
          "SOUND": 8,
          "timed_out": 0,
          "truncated_by_grader": 4
        }
      },
      "learning_effect_established": false,
      "pilot_complete": false,
      "reason": "Independent schedule audit: the pilot selected protocol.seeds (three ordinary request seeds), but the sealed calibration requires its two disjoint calibration_seeds. Abort this attempt and preserve all checkpoints. No model score selected the refusal.",
      "run": "Loopseed-decisive-v11-exec/data/fish/experiments/decisive-2026-09-06T133016Z",
      "saved": 15,
      "scheduled": 336,
      "status": "Invalid / closed",
      "version": 11
    },
    {
      "cells": {
        "OFF": {
          "FAIL": 50,
          "INVALID": 1,
          "SOUND": 79,
          "timed_out": 0,
          "truncated_by_grader": 11
        }
      },
      "learning_effect_established": false,
      "pilot_complete": false,
      "reason": "Keeper requested a larger per-reply token budget. This 2048-token attempt is closed before changing conditions; saved pilot replies remain separate budget-feasibility evidence. The pilot did not complete postflight, and no calibration or causal allocation was produced. The frozen calibrator also omits the inherited cap eligibility rule; the tested correction will accompany the separately sealed 4096-token continuation.",
      "run": "Loopseed-decisive-v12-exec/data/fish/experiments/decisive-2026-09-06T142406Z",
      "saved": 130,
      "scheduled": 336,
      "status": "Invalid / closed",
      "version": 12
    },
    {
      "cells": {
        "OFF": {
          "FAIL": 89,
          "INVALID": 7,
          "SOUND": 72,
          "timed_out": 0,
          "truncated_by_grader": 6
        },
        "OFF-rep": {
          "FAIL": 90,
          "INVALID": 8,
          "SOUND": 70,
          "timed_out": 0,
          "truncated_by_grader": 6
        }
      },
      "learning_effect_established": false,
      "pilot_complete": true,
      "reason": "arm-exit: fish.lab.typed_probes derive exited 1: ValueError: room_sampling class07-paths: 0 immediate probes, 8 required",
      "run": "Loopseed-decisive-v13-exec/data/fish/experiments/decisive-2026-09-06T154922Z",
      "saved": 336,
      "scheduled": 336,
      "status": "Allocation refused",
      "version": 13
    },
    {
      "cells": {
        "OFF": {
          "FAIL": 77,
          "INVALID": 3,
          "SOUND": 88,
          "timed_out": 0,
          "truncated_by_grader": 4
        },
        "OFF-rep": {
          "FAIL": 79,
          "INVALID": 4,
          "SOUND": 85,
          "timed_out": 0,
          "truncated_by_grader": 6
        }
      },
      "learning_effect_established": false,
      "pilot_complete": true,
      "reason": "arm-exit: fish.lab.typed_probes derive exited 1: ValueError: room_sampling class06-cancel: 0 immediate probes, 8 required",
      "run": "Loopseed-decisive-v14-exec/data/fish/experiments/decisive-2026-09-06T201630Z",
      "saved": 336,
      "scheduled": 336,
      "status": "Allocation refused",
      "version": 14
    },
    {
      "cells": {
        "OFF": {
          "FAIL": 88,
          "INVALID": 2,
          "SOUND": 78,
          "timed_out": 0,
          "truncated_by_grader": 14
        },
        "OFF-rep": {
          "FAIL": 1,
          "INVALID": 1,
          "SOUND": 5,
          "timed_out": 0,
          "truncated_by_grader": 1
        }
      },
      "learning_effect_established": false,
      "pilot_complete": false,
      "reason": "Paused by user; server stopped; no final learning verdict",
      "run": "Loopseed-decisive-v15-exec/data/fish/experiments/decisive-2026-09-07T004253Z",
      "saved": 175,
      "scheduled": 336,
      "status": "Paused",
      "version": 15
    }
  ],
  "earlier_decisive_voids": [
    {
      "reason": "arm-exit: fish.lab.interaction_arm run exited 1: ValueError: 'hundreds-carry-join' is not a kind of the provenance contract",
      "run": "Loopseed/data/fish/experiments/decisive-2026-08-20T135204Z",
      "source": "Loopseed/data/fish/experiments/decisive-2026-08-20T135204Z/void.json",
      "status": "Void"
    },
    {
      "reason": "arm-exit: fish.lab.interaction_arm run exited 1: ValueError: plan pins a different interaction_arm_sha256; this is not the sealed instrument",
      "run": "Loopseed/data/fish/experiments/decisive-2026-08-21T040000Z",
      "source": "Loopseed/data/fish/experiments/decisive-2026-08-21T040000Z/void.json",
      "status": "Void"
    },
    {
      "reason": "arm-exit: fish.lab.memory_arm run exited 1: ValueError: the frozen shelf replays a probe's own numbers: [{'probe': 's2-class04-euclid-gaussian-square-r2-pilot-01', 'kind': 'gaussian-square', 'replays': [{'lesson': 1679, 'column': 'content', 'leaks': 'parameters'}]}]",
      "run": "Loopseed/data/fish/experiments/decisive-2026-08-22T160500Z",
      "source": "Loopseed/data/fish/experiments/decisive-2026-08-22T160500Z/void.json",
      "status": "Void"
    },
    {
      "reason": "arm-exit: fish.lab.interaction_arm run exited 1: ValueError: prelude pool short for s3-class04-euclid-gaussian-square-r2-immediate-07 in I2: 0 eligible, 2 wanted",
      "run": "Loopseed/data/fish/experiments/decisive-2026-08-22T163219Z",
      "source": "Loopseed/data/fish/experiments/decisive-2026-08-22T163219Z/void.json",
      "status": "Void"
    },
    {
      "reason": "arm-exit: fish.lab.memory_arm run exited 1: ValueError: sham prompts do not all name two-column-expanded alone: [{'probe': 's4-control-hundreds-carry-join-r1-immediate-01', 'kind': 'hundreds-carry-join', 'verdict': 'absent'}, {'probe': 's4-control-hundreds-carry-join-r1-immediate-02', 'kind': 'hundreds-carry-join', 'verdict': 'absent'}, {'probe': 's4-control-hundreds-carry-join-r1-immediate-03', 'kind': 'hundreds-carry-join', 'verdict': 'absent'}, {'probe': 's4-control-hundreds-carry-join-r1-immediate-04', 'kind': 'hundreds-carry-join', 'verdict': 'absent'}, {'probe': 's4-control-hundreds-carry-join-r1-immediate-05', 'kind': 'hundreds-carry-join', 'verdict': 'absent'}, {'probe': 's4-control-hundreds-carry-join-r1-immediate-06', 'kind': 'hundreds-carry-join', 'verdict': 'absent'}, {'probe': 's4-control-fraction-reduction-r1-immediate-01', 'kind': 'fraction-reduction', 'verdict': 'absent'}, {'probe': 's4-control-fraction-reduction-r1-immediate-02', 'kind': 'fraction-reduction', 'verdict': 'absent'}, {'probe': 's4-control-fraction-reduction-r1-immediate-03', 'kind': 'fraction-reduction', 'verdict': 'absent'}, {'probe': 's4-control-fraction-reduction-r1-immediate-04', 'kind': 'fraction-reduction', 'verdict': 'absent'}, {'probe': 's4-control-fraction-reduction-r1-immediate-05', 'kind': 'fraction-reduction', 'verdict': 'absent'}, {'probe': 's4-control-fraction-reduction-r1-immediate-06', 'kind': 'fraction-reduction', 'verdict': 'absent'}, {'probe': 's4-collateral-tens-carry-join-r1-immediate-01', 'kind': 'tens-carry-join', 'verdict': 'absent'}, {'probe': 's4-collateral-tens-carry-join-r1-immediate-02', 'kind': 'tens-carry-join', 'verdict': 'absent'}, {'probe': 's4-collateral-three-column-expanded-r1-immediate-01', 'kind': 'three-column-expanded', 'verdict': 'absent'}, {'probe': 's4-collateral-three-column-expanded-r1-immediate-02', 'kind': 'three-column-expanded', 'verdict': 'absent'}, {'probe': 's4-collateral-three-column-lower-block-r1-immediate-01', 'kind': 'three-column-lower-block', 'verdict': 'absent'}, {'probe': 's4-collateral-three-column-lower-block-r1-immediate-02', 'kind': 'three-column-lower-block', 'verdict': 'absent'}, {'probe': 's4-collateral-three-column-upper-block-r1-immediate-01', 'kind': 'three-column-upper-block', 'verdict': 'absent'}, {'probe': 's4-collateral-three-column-upper-block-r1-immediate-02', 'kind': 'three-column-upper-block', 'verdict': 'absent'}, {'probe': 's4-collateral-place-value-terms-r1-immediate-01', 'kind': 'place-value-terms', 'verdict': 'absent'}, {'probe': 's4-collateral-place-value-terms-r1-immediate-02', 'kind': 'place-value-terms', 'verdict': 'absent'}, {'probe': 's4-collateral-place-value-sum-r1-immediate-01', 'kind': 'place-value-sum', 'verdict': 'absent'}, {'probe': 's4-collateral-place-value-sum-r1-immediate-02', 'kind': 'place-value-sum', 'verdict': 'absent'}, {'probe': 's4-collateral-quotient-remainder-r1-immediate-01', 'kind': 'quotient-remainder', 'verdict': 'absent'}, {'probe': 's4-collateral-quotient-remainder-r1-immediate-02', 'kind': 'quotient-remainder', 'verdict': 'absent'}, {'probe': 's4-collateral-gcd-reduction-r1-immediate-01', 'kind': 'gcd-reduction', 'verdict': 'absent'}, {'probe': 's4-collateral-gcd-reduction-r1-immediate-02', 'kind': 'gcd-reduction', 'verdict': 'absent'}, {'probe': 's4-collateral-column-step-r1-immediate-01', 'kind': 'column-step', 'verdict': 'absent'}, {'probe': 's4-collateral-column-step-r1-immediate-02', 'kind': 'column-step', 'verdict': 'absent'}]",
      "run": "Loopseed/data/fish/experiments/decisive-2026-08-24T032145Z",
      "source": "Loopseed/data/fish/experiments/decisive-2026-08-24T032145Z/void.json",
      "status": "Void"
    }
  ],
  "factorial": [
    {
      "arms": {
        "bare": {
          "audit_accepted": 1,
          "exact_proved": 2,
          "reply_cap_cuts": 52,
          "tasks": 64
        },
        "candidate": {
          "audit_accepted": 4,
          "exact_proved": 7,
          "reply_cap_cuts": 11,
          "tasks": 64
        },
        "placebo": {
          "audit_accepted": 12,
          "exact_proved": 12,
          "reply_cap_cuts": 1,
          "tasks": 64
        },
        "retained": {
          "audit_accepted": 1,
          "exact_proved": 2,
          "reply_cap_cuts": 18,
          "tasks": 64
        }
      },
      "grammar": "task-scoped",
      "prompt": "node-specified"
    },
    {
      "arms": {
        "bare": {
          "audit_accepted": 0,
          "exact_proved": 1,
          "reply_cap_cuts": 49,
          "tasks": 64
        },
        "candidate": {
          "audit_accepted": 4,
          "exact_proved": 7,
          "reply_cap_cuts": 8,
          "tasks": 64
        },
        "placebo": {
          "audit_accepted": 0,
          "exact_proved": 0,
          "reply_cap_cuts": 0,
          "tasks": 64
        },
        "retained": {
          "audit_accepted": 1,
          "exact_proved": 1,
          "reply_cap_cuts": 14,
          "tasks": 64
        }
      },
      "grammar": "loose-v2",
      "prompt": "node-specified"
    },
    {
      "arms": {
        "bare": {
          "audit_accepted": 0,
          "exact_proved": 1,
          "reply_cap_cuts": 4,
          "tasks": 64
        },
        "candidate": {
          "audit_accepted": 43,
          "exact_proved": 47,
          "reply_cap_cuts": 0,
          "tasks": 64
        },
        "placebo": {
          "audit_accepted": 18,
          "exact_proved": 18,
          "reply_cap_cuts": 0,
          "tasks": 64
        },
        "retained": {
          "audit_accepted": 5,
          "exact_proved": 5,
          "reply_cap_cuts": 1,
          "tasks": 64
        }
      },
      "grammar": "task-scoped",
      "prompt": "names-only"
    },
    {
      "arms": {
        "bare": {
          "audit_accepted": 0,
          "exact_proved": 0,
          "reply_cap_cuts": 0,
          "tasks": 64
        },
        "candidate": {
          "audit_accepted": 43,
          "exact_proved": 47,
          "reply_cap_cuts": 2,
          "tasks": 64
        },
        "placebo": {
          "audit_accepted": 0,
          "exact_proved": 0,
          "reply_cap_cuts": 0,
          "tasks": 64
        },
        "retained": {
          "audit_accepted": 5,
          "exact_proved": 5,
          "reply_cap_cuts": 0,
          "tasks": 64
        }
      },
      "grammar": "loose-v2",
      "prompt": "names-only"
    }
  ],
  "formal": {
    "arms": {
      "bare": {
        "audit_accepted": 0,
        "exact_proved": 0,
        "reply_cap_cuts": 0,
        "tasks": 64
      },
      "candidate": {
        "audit_accepted": 43,
        "exact_proved": 47,
        "reply_cap_cuts": 2,
        "tasks": 64
      },
      "placebo": {
        "audit_accepted": 0,
        "exact_proved": 0,
        "reply_cap_cuts": 0,
        "tasks": 64
      },
      "retained": {
        "audit_accepted": 5,
        "exact_proved": 5,
        "reply_cap_cuts": 0,
        "tasks": 64
      }
    },
    "grammar": "loose-v2",
    "prompt": "names-only"
  },
  "harder": {
    "candidate_vs_placebo": {
      "boundary": {
        "candidate_accepted": 9,
        "comparator_accepted": 9,
        "recomputed_one_sided_sign_p": 1.0,
        "replies_per_arm": 12,
        "seeds": 3,
        "task_gains": 0,
        "task_losses": 0,
        "task_ties": 4,
        "tasks": 4
      },
      "retention": {
        "candidate_accepted": 0,
        "comparator_accepted": 0,
        "recomputed_one_sided_sign_p": 1.0,
        "replies_per_arm": 15,
        "seeds": 3,
        "task_gains": 0,
        "task_losses": 0,
        "task_ties": 5,
        "tasks": 5
      },
      "transfer": {
        "candidate_accepted": 2,
        "comparator_accepted": 2,
        "recomputed_one_sided_sign_p": 0.6875,
        "replies_per_arm": 81,
        "seeds": 3,
        "task_gains": 2,
        "task_losses": 2,
        "task_ties": 23,
        "tasks": 27
      }
    },
    "candidate_vs_retained": {
      "boundary": {
        "candidate_accepted": 9,
        "comparator_accepted": 9,
        "recomputed_one_sided_sign_p": 1.0,
        "replies_per_arm": 12,
        "seeds": 3,
        "task_gains": 0,
        "task_losses": 0,
        "task_ties": 4,
        "tasks": 4
      },
      "retention": {
        "candidate_accepted": 0,
        "comparator_accepted": 0,
        "recomputed_one_sided_sign_p": 1.0,
        "replies_per_arm": 15,
        "seeds": 3,
        "task_gains": 0,
        "task_losses": 0,
        "task_ties": 5,
        "tasks": 5
      },
      "transfer": {
        "candidate_accepted": 2,
        "comparator_accepted": 3,
        "recomputed_one_sided_sign_p": 0.875,
        "replies_per_arm": 81,
        "seeds": 3,
        "task_gains": 1,
        "task_losses": 2,
        "task_ties": 24,
        "tasks": 27
      }
    }
  },
  "interface": {
    "arms": {
      "candidate": {
        "accepted": {
          "direct-answer": 3,
          "formal-free": 4,
          "formal-grammar": 4
        },
        "both": 4,
        "cap_cuts": {
          "direct-answer": 0,
          "formal-free": 0,
          "formal-grammar": 0
        },
        "clean_failures": {
          "direct-answer": 0,
          "formal-free": 0,
          "formal-grammar": 0
        },
        "free_only": 0,
        "grammar_only": 0,
        "neither": 4,
        "tasks": 8
      },
      "placebo": {
        "accepted": {
          "direct-answer": 2,
          "formal-free": 0,
          "formal-grammar": 0
        },
        "both": 0,
        "cap_cuts": {
          "direct-answer": 0,
          "formal-free": 0,
          "formal-grammar": 0
        },
        "clean_failures": {
          "direct-answer": 0,
          "formal-free": 0,
          "formal-grammar": 0
        },
        "free_only": 0,
        "grammar_only": 0,
        "neither": 8,
        "tasks": 8
      }
    },
    "candidate_minus_placebo_grammar_effect": 0
  },
  "latest_experiment_date": "2026-09-07",
  "notes": [
    "Acceptance definitions differ across studies; do not pool them into one success rate.",
    "Repeated seeds, related task families and copied artifacts are not independent replications.",
    "Pilots assess feasibility; invalid and incomplete runs do not establish learning effects.",
    "Generated-data provenance and resistance to circular corroboration remain research questions."
  ],
  "private_continuation": {
    "candidate_boundary_all_correct": true,
    "decision_rules": {
      "max_losses": 0,
      "min_transfer_gains": 4,
      "prediction_max_retention_loss_increase": 0.0,
      "prediction_min_new_loss_drop": 0.01,
      "reply_tokens": 4096,
      "seeds": [
        260907,
        260908
      ],
      "speaking_scale": 0.25
    },
    "historical_live_activation": false,
    "historical_status": "retained-current-coats",
    "prediction_counts": {
      "new_witness": 3,
      "retention_witness": 16,
      "train": 96,
      "valid": 19
    },
    "prediction_loss": {
      "after": {
        "new_witness": 2.201,
        "retention_witness": 2.676
      },
      "before": {
        "new_witness": 1.967,
        "retention_witness": 1.977
      },
      "loss_passed": false
    },
    "prediction_new_training_pairs": 11,
    "speaking_groups": {
      "boundary": {
        "gains": 0,
        "losses": 0,
        "pairs": 6,
        "ties": 6
      },
      "retention": {
        "gains": 3,
        "losses": 7,
        "pairs": 18,
        "ties": 8
      },
      "transfer": {
        "gains": 9,
        "losses": 10,
        "pairs": 60,
        "ties": 41
      }
    },
    "speaking_loss": {
      "after": {
        ".": 0.035
      },
      "before": {
        ".": 1.919
      },
      "loss_passed": true
    },
    "speaking_passed": false,
    "speaking_target_origin": "teacher-derived-worked-solutions-to-completed-pilot-questions",
    "speaking_totals": {
      "gains": 12,
      "losses": 17,
      "pairs": 84,
      "ties": 55
    },
    "speaking_training_counts": {
      "train": 63,
      "valid": 21
    }
  },
  "repair_context": {
    "observations": {
      "actual_campaign_completions": 71,
      "becoming_established": false,
      "checked_repair": {
        "exact_final_rules": 2,
        "initially_incorrect_or_ineligible_n": 4,
        "n": 6,
        "newly_exact_from_initially_incorrect_or_ineligible": 0,
        "query_1_exact": 1,
        "query_2_exact": 2,
        "whole_world_exact": 1
      },
      "collected_fish_calls": 70,
      "complete_final_replies": 68,
      "failure_upgrades": 0,
      "forced_reasoning_closures": 31,
      "generated_tokens": 145911,
      "generic_self_check": {
        "exact_final_rules": 1,
        "initially_incorrect_or_ineligible_n": 4,
        "n": 6,
        "newly_exact_from_initially_incorrect_or_ineligible": 0,
        "query_1_exact": 0,
        "query_2_exact": 1,
        "whole_world_exact": 0
      },
      "initially_exact_rules": {
        "exact": 2,
        "n": 6
      },
      "interpretation": "One checked pipeline preserved and used an already correct rule. None of four initially incorrect/ineligible rules became exact. These descriptive counts do not issue or replace a scientific verdict.",
      "machine_positive_vetoes": 0,
      "native_learning_established": false,
      "native_memory_retention_established": false,
      "natural_reasoning_closures": 39,
      "primary_calls": 66,
      "prior_unscored_mechanically_refused_completion": 1,
      "repeated_calls": 4,
      "repeats": {
        "deterministic_generation_established": false,
        "pairs": 4,
        "raw_and_final_identical": 4,
        "success_booleans_stable": 4
      },
      "reviewed_exact_positive_cells": 18,
      "reviewed_uncertainty_positive_cells": 10,
      "supplied_correct_rule": {
        "n": 6,
        "query_1_exact": 2,
        "query_2_exact": 5,
        "whole_world_exact": 2
      },
      "total_generation_caps": 2,
      "uncertainty": {
        "foreign_exact_unknown": 6,
        "n_per_control": 6,
        "none_exact_unknown": 4
      },
      "weight_learning_established": false,
      "withheld_replies": 0
    },
    "scientific_verdict": null,
    "source": "Loopseed/data/fish/labs/decisive-repair-context-2026-09-06T035210Z/descriptive-reconciliation.json",
    "status": "refused"
  },
  "reviewed_on": "2026-09-11",
  "rule_use": {
    "calls": 60,
    "conditions": {
      "candidate-off": {
        "by_stratum": {
          "delayed_composed": 0,
          "immediate_basic": 2,
          "immediate_composed": 0
        },
        "exact": 2,
        "n": 12,
        "ready": false,
        "total_generated_tokens": 108
      },
      "candidate-on": {
        "by_stratum": {
          "delayed_composed": 3,
          "immediate_basic": 2,
          "immediate_composed": 2
        },
        "exact": 7,
        "n": 12,
        "ready": false,
        "total_generated_tokens": 15280
      },
      "retained-off": {
        "by_stratum": {
          "delayed_composed": 0,
          "immediate_basic": 2,
          "immediate_composed": 0
        },
        "exact": 2,
        "n": 12,
        "ready": false,
        "total_generated_tokens": 126
      },
      "retained-on": {
        "by_stratum": {
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